Posted by: ckckred | February 14, 2013

My Oscar Predictions 2012

My predictions for the 2012 Oscars

My predictions for the 2012 Oscars

The Academy Awards are coming, and I’d like to pick who I think should win.  Unfortunately, the Academy doesn’t always agree with me and I’m pretty sore that movies like The Master and Moonrise Kingdom received little recognition and that The Dark Knight Rises wasn’t nominated at all.  So anyway, here are my choices.

BEST PICTURE

“Amour”

“Argo”

“Beasts of the Southern Wild”

“Django Unchained”

“Les Miserables”

“Life of Pi”

“Lincoln”

“Silver Linings Playbook”

“Zero Dark Thirty”

Should Win: Amour  Will Win: Argo

Despite the snubs of The MasterMoonrise Kingdom, and Skyfall, I do think it is a strong selection of nominees (though I didn’t overly enjoy Les Miserables).  Amour should be the winner, as not only was it one of the best films of the year but the most emotional.  But I think Argo will take the prize.  Despite that Ben Affleck did not receive a best director nomination, Argo has swept away many of the prizes at the PGA and DGA, plus it is a great example of when entertainment and art go together.  So Argo will win.

BEST DIRECTOR

Michael Haneke, “Amour”

Ang Lee, “Life of Pi”

Steven Spielberg, “Lincoln”

David. O. Russell, “Silver Linings Playbook”Paul

Benh Zeitlin, “Beasts of the Southern Wild”

Should Win: Michael Haneke  Will Win: Steven Spielberg

I would have liked to have seen Paul Thomas Anderson (The Master), Kathryn Bigelow (Zero Dark Thirty), or Quentin Tarantino (Django Unchained) take a nomination but I can’t disagree with any of this year’s nominees.  While part of me would like Ang Lee to win for making the most beautiful film of the year, I want Haneke to win for making an emotional powerful film.  However, Spielberg will win here.

BEST ACTOR

Bradley Cooper, “Silver Linings Playbook”

Daniel Day-Lewis, “Lincoln”

Hugh Jackman, “Les Miserables”

Joaquin Phoenix, “The Master”

Denzel Washington, “Flight”

Should/Will WIn: Daniel Day-Lewis

I’m glad to see that the Oscars gave Joaquin Phoenix a nomination, despite the many snubs of The Master and his comments about the award show.  A good selection, though I would have liked to have seen Jean-Louis Trintignant (Amour) in the running.  Again, DDL deserves to win.

BEST ACTRESS

Jessica Chastain, “Zero Dark Thirty”

Jennifer Lawrence, “Silver Linings Playbook”

Emmanuelle Riva, “Amour”

Quvenzhane Wallis, “Beasts of the Southern Wild”

Naomi Watts, “The Impossible”

Should Win: Jessica Chastain  Will Win: Jennifer Lawrence

Part of me would like to see Emmanuelle Riva or Quvenzhane Wallis take the prize but Jessica Chastain had the best female performance of the year in my opinion.  I’m guessing Lawrence will take the prize though, unless Meryl Streep decides to intervene.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Alan Arkin, “Argo”

Robert De Niro, “Silver Linings Playbook”

Philip Seymour Hoffman, “The Master”

Tommy Lee Jones, “Lincoln”

Christoph Waltz, “Django Unchained”

Should Win: Philip Seymour Hoffman  Will Win: Tommy Lee Jones

Leonardo DiCaprio (Django) and Edward Norton (Moonrise Kingdom) were robbed!  Though it would be awesome to see De Niro win, Hoffman was the best in the category in my opinion.  I’m still going to go with Tommy Lee Jones as I’m guessing Lincoln will take many of the biggest prizes of the night.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Amy Adams, “The Master”

Sally Field, “Lincoln”

Anne Hathaway, “Les Miserables”

Helen Hunt, “The Sessions”

Jacki Weaver, “Silver Linings Playbook”

Should Win: Amy Adams  Will Win: Anne Hathaway

Okay, despite my complaints about Les Miserables, Hathaway did do a good job (I gave put her in my honorable mentions for the best performances of 2012).  But truthfully, I wasn’t blown away or anything by her.  Frankly, I thought Amy Adams was much better in her role.  Though it wasn’t her best performance, Adams was great and deserves the prize.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

“Argo”

“Beasts of the Southern Wild”

“Life of Pi”

“Lincoln”

“Silver Linings Playbook”

Should/Will Win: Lincoln

I was amazed how the story of Life of Pi was able to be adapted to the big screen but Lincoln had the best dialogue of the year.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

“Amour”

“Django Unchained”

“Flight”

“Moonrise Kingdom”

“Zero Dark Thirty”

Should Win: Amour  Will Win: Zero Dark Thirty

I’d like to see Wes Anderson get some appreciation but Michael Haneke deserves the award in my opinion, though I think ZDT will take the prize (which would be my second choice).  Also, the Oscars must really dislike The Master.  I thought it would be a shoo-in for this category.

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

“Amour”

“Kon-Tiki”

“No”

“A Royal Affair”

“War Witch”

Should/Will Win: Amour

Okay, it was the only film I saw in this category, but Amour does deserve the prize.

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

“Brave”

“Frankenweenie”

“Paranorman”

“The Pirates”

“Wreck-It Ralph”

Will Win: Wreck-It Ralph

I saw zero animated films last year, but I’m guessing Wreck-It Ralph will take the prize.

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

“5 Broken Cameras”

“The Gatekeepers”

“How to Survive a Plague”

“The Invisible War”

“Searching for Sugar Man”

Will Win: Searching for Sugar Man

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

“Anna Karenina”

“The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”

“Les Miserables”

“Life of Pi”

“Lincoln”

Should Win: Life of Pi  Will Win: Anna Karenina

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

“Anna Karenina”

“Django Unchained”

“Life of Pi”

“Lincoln”

“Skyfall”

Should/Will Win: Life of Pi (The Oscars must really hate The Master.  Even if you weren’t a fan of it, I find it hard to argue against the great cinematography).

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

“Anna Karenina”

“Les Miserables”

“Lincoln”

“Mirror Mirror”

“Snow White and the Huntsman”

Should Win: Lincoln  Will Win: Anna Karenina

BEST EDITING

“Argo”

“Life of Pi”

“Lincoln”

“Silver Linings Playbook”

“Zero Dark Thirty”

Should Win: Zero Dark Thirty  Will Win: Argo

BEST MAKEUP

“Hitchcock”

“The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”

“Les Miserables”

Should Win: ?  Will Win: The Hobbit

BEST SCORE

“Anna Karenina”

“Argo”

“Life of Pi”

“Lincoln”

“Skyfall”

Should Win: Lincoln (yeah, I want to see John Williams take home another Oscar)  Will Win: Life of Pi (Where’s Johnny Greenwood for The Master?)

BEST SONG

“Before My Time” (“Chasing Ice”)

“Suddenly” (“Les Miserables”)

“Pi’s Lullaby” (“Life of Pi)”

”Skyfall” (“Skyfall”)

“Everybody Needs a Best Friend” (“Ted”)

Should/Will Win: Skyfall

BEST SOUND EDITING

“Argo”

“Django Unchained”

“Life of Pi”

“Skyfall”

“Zero Dark Thirty”

Should/Will Win: Zero Dark Thirty

BEST SOUND MIXING

“Argo”

“Les Miserables”

“Life of Pi”

“Lincoln”

“Skyfall”

Should Win: Argo  Will Win: Les Miserables

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

“The Avengers”

“The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”

“Life of Pi”

“Prometheus”

“Snow White and the Huntsman”

Should/Will Win: Life of Pi

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

“Adam and Dog”

“Fresh Guacamole”

“Head Over Heels”

“Maggie Simpson in The Longest Daycare”

“Paperman”

Should Win: Maggie Simpson in The Longest Daycare  Will Win: Paperman

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

“Inocente”

“Kings Point”

“Mondays at Racine”

“Open Heart”

“Redemption”

Will Win: Open Heart

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

“Asad”

“Buzkasi Boys”

“Curfew”

“Death of a Shadow”

“Henry”

Will Win: Curfew

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Responses

  1. I’ve still not seen it but it seems Argo is making a late charge for the Best Picture. I don’t, however, get the big deal about Jessica Chastain’s performance in Zero Dark Thirty. I thought it was really good but I’m not sure if it was Oscar worthy. I think both Jennifer Lawrence and Naomi Watts gave better performances.

    • I feel Argo’s going to win after winning most of the big award shows, even though Ben Affleck wasn’t nominated. I was really impressed on how Chastain delivered her material in ZDT, but I also liked Lawrence (I haven’t seen The Impossible yet). Thanks for commenting.

  2. I have to say I agree with a lot of what you say. The only problem is I still haven’t seen “Amour”. It opens here in a couple of weeks. I like the scenario you lay out where Argo wins best picture and Spielberg wins best director. I certainly don’t think that’s how it should be but it very well could play out like that. Lots of question marks this year. It should be fun to watch.

    • It’s going to be interesting to see which movie will win Best Picture this year. Argo has been sweeping most award shows so I’ll be going with that, even though Ben Affleck wasn’t nominated. Thanks for commenting.

      • What are your thoughts on Affleck’s snub. I wrote a piece not too long ago asking if it may be politics. Now I have no doubt that’s why Bigelow was snubbed, But Argo was a lot more politically neutral then I think some would have liked. I appreciated that personally but I wonder if the Academy is penalizing him for it.

        Call me a conspiracy theorist I guess. LOL

      • I heard some people were upset because Canada had a bigger role in the situation than the movie explained, but I still was sure the Oscars would nominated Affleck. I would have liked to see him get nominated.

  3. Know what you mean about The Master getting snubbed. What a shame.
    I think it’s funny because I know you like Amour and everything, I didn’t like it, but I think Riva gave the best performance out of the actress nominees. I’m predicting she’ll win too because she’s old and it’s her birthday on Oscar night and everything. Lawrence does have a lot of support though so I’m probably wrong but I’m still going with it.

    • Riva would be my second choice after Jessica Chastain. I’d like to see her win and there might be a chance that she does, but I still think Lawrence will take it. Thanks for commenting.

  4. “The Oscars must really hate The Master. Even if you weren’t a fan of it, I find it hard to argue against the great cinematography.”

    Agreed on the cinematography, it was a beautiful film to watch…but that film is not for everyone. 🙂 I wasn’t impressed by it either.

    • Glad you agree The Master was snubbed for cinematography. Thanks for commenting.

  5. It’s funny. Up until late January everyone was predicting Lincoln would win Best Picture. Then just 3 weeks ago, everything changed and Argo is now the favorite. If it does win it will be the first time since 1989 (Driving Miss Daisy) that a film didn’t get a Best Director nomination and still won Best Picture. And I’m OK with that.

    • I was sure Lincoln would win a couple of weeks ago, but after seeing Argo sweep a lot of the recent award shows I think it will win, though I still believe it might be a close race. This year had a pretty strong slate of best picture nominees, and I’d be fine to see Argo take it. Thanks for commenting.

  6. I pretty much agree with all of your predictions. I do think Argo will take Adapted Screenplay though.

    • Even though Argo won the WGA, I still think Lincoln will take it. It’s going to be a close race this year. Thanks for commenting.


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